📄 Journal Articles

Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Pacific Alliance Countries
with Gabriel Rodríguez and Paul Castillo. Economic Modelling, July 2023
Published Paper


🧪 Working Papers

Forecasting Global Refugee Flows: A Machine Learning Approach Using Non-Conventional Data
with Daniela de los Santos and Eric Frey. Universitat Pompeu Fabra, August 2023
Working Paper


Measuring Potential Output after COVID-19: An Extended Multivariate Filter
with William Sánchez. Fiscal Council of Peru, August 2023
Working Paper


Business Confidence and Private Investment in Peru: A Non-Linear Analysis (2003–2019)
with William Sánchez. Fiscal Council of Peru, March 2023
Working Paper


Impact of External Shocks on the Peruvian Economy: A TVP-VAR-SV Approach
with Gabriel Rodríguez. Fiscal Council of Peru, May 2021
Working Paper