📄 Journal Articles

Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Pacific Alliance Countries
with Gabriel Rodríguez and Paul Castillo.
Economic Modelling, July 2023
Published Paper

🧪 Working Papers

Semantic Similarity Measures in Newspaper Text for Detecting and Predicting Disruptive Institutional Events
with Laura Mayoral, Hannes Mueller, Christopher Rauh, and Margherita Phillip.
Institut d’Anàlisi Econòmica (IAE-CSIC), February 2026
Working Paper

Forecasting Global Refugee Flows: A Machine Learning Approach Using Non-Conventional Data
with Daniela de los Santos and Eric Frey.
Universitat Pompeu Fabra, August 2023
Working Paper

Measuring Potential Output after COVID-19: An Extended Multivariate Filter
with William Sánchez.
Fiscal Council of Peru, August 2023
Working Paper

Business Confidence and Private Investment in Peru: A Nonlinear Analysis for the Period 2003–2019
with William Sánchez.
Fiscal Council of Peru, March 2023
Working Paper

Time evolution of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Pacific Alliance countries: empirical application using TVP-VAR-SV models
with Gabriel Rodríguez.
Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, May 2022
Working Paper