Economist · IDEA / BSE · IAE-CSIC

Renato Vassallo

Research at the intersection of economics, AI and policy.

I build forecasting and causal inference tools to study macroeconomic dynamics, humanitarian crises, and conflict risk, with an emphasis on transparent, reproducible, and visually clear research.

Recent updates

What I’m up to

  • Jan 2026 New New working paper: Semantic Similarity Measures in Newspaper Text for Detecting and Predicting Disruptive Institutional Events, with L. Mayoral, H. Mueller, C. Rauh, and M. Phillip. Working Paper.
  • 2025 Released a pre-publication version of MacroPy, a toolbox for macroeconometric analysis in Python. Install via .whl here.
  • 2025 New blog post: Bayesian VARs in Python, a step-by-step tutorial from scratch and with MacroPy.

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